Bitcoin’s recent price movements have been largely influenced by the political landscape, particularly in relation to former President Donald Trump. The cryptocurrency market is reacting to Trump’s increased chances of re-election and his supportive stance towards digital currencies.
Analysts believe this momentum is partly due to the perception that Trump’s presidency could benefit the crypto industry. Trump’s upcoming attendance at a Bitcoin conference and his public endorsements are further fueling positive sentiment in the market. Analysts from Bernstein suggest Bitcoin’s price is positively correlated with Trump’s election prospects, which is also uplifting crypto-related stocks.
Bitcoin’s current price stands above $62,000, reflecting a significant upswing.
BTCUSD 4-hour Chart
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Momentum Driven by Election Outlook
Bitcoin’s price surge seems to be bolstered by the favorable outlook of Trump’s possible re-election. Recently, Trump has been viewed as a stronger supporter of cryptocurrency, boosting investor confidence. Trump is also set to attend a Bitcoin conference in Nashville later this month, signaling his continued engagement with the crypto community.
According to analysts, Bitcoin’s price is closely linked to the probability of a Trump presidency and will remain sensitive to election updates. The report also highlights positive scenarios for Bitcoin-mining stocks, especially those diversifying into artificial intelligence.
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BlackRock’s Larry Fink Endorses Bitcoin
Another significant development in Bitcoin’s favor is the endorsement from BlackRock (BLK) CEO Larry Fink. Formerly a skeptic, Fink has now become a major believer in Bitcoin, describing it as a legitimate financial instrument that offers non-correlated returns.
BlackRock’s spot Bitcoin exchange-traded fund (ETF), iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT), has been highly successful, attracting nearly $18 billion since it began trading. This endorsement from a major financial institution adds substantial credibility to Bitcoin, further driving its price upwards.
German Selling Abates, Strong ETF Inflows Continue
Germany’s on-chain Bitcoin balance has significantly decreased, removing a drag on Bitcoin’s price. German authorities recently sold 42,000 Bitcoins, worth about $2.4 billion, but the market absorbed this pressure effectively.
Cumulative spot Bitcoin ETF net inflows reached $15.8 billion, with products gathering around $1.4 billion in a week. This strong inflow indicates robust institutional interest, counteracting any selling pressure from German authorities.
Comparative Analysis with Altcoins
Bitcoin’s recent upward trajectory is reminiscent of its historical price surges in 2017 and 2020, suggesting a cyclical pattern of increased investor interest and value. Compared to other cryptocurrencies, Bitcoin’s gains have outpaced many altcoins, except for Ether (ETH), which closely follows Bitcoin’s rise.
Other altcoins like XRP and SOL have also seen gains, while ADA remains relatively stagnant. Meme tokens such as DOGE and SHIB have shown significant increases, reflecting the broader positive sentiment in the crypto market.
Impact of Trump’s Campaign and Regulatory Environment
The failed assassination attempt on Trump has boosted his popularity, giving him an edge over President Joe Biden in the upcoming 2024 presidential race. Trump’s campaign has embraced cryptocurrency payments, a first for a major US political party, raising hopes for a more favorable regulatory environment. Trump’s support for US-based Bitcoin mining and his planned speech at the Bitcoin Conference in Nashville later this month further enhance his pro-crypto image.
In addition, reports indicate that the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) is nearing approval for exchange-traded funds that directly track Ether.
This development is expected to attract substantial institutional investment, similar to the impact of Bitcoin ETFs earlier this year. The launch of spot Ether ETFs could drive Ether to new highs, benefiting the broader crypto market.
Broader Crypto Price Movements
The positive sentiment surrounding Bitcoin has influenced broader crypto prices. World no.2 token Ether rose 2.6% to $3,420.75, driven by news of impending SEC approval for spot ETFs. Other altcoins, including XRP and SOL, saw gains of 3% and 2.4%, respectively, while ADA traded sideways. Among meme tokens, DOGE added 4.3%, and SHIB rose 7.1%.
Conclusion
Bitcoin’s recent price movements have been significantly influenced by geopolitical events, particularly the increased probability of Trump’s re-election. The endorsement from BlackRock’s CEO and strong institutional inflows into Bitcoin ETFs further bolster its price.
Additionally, the broader crypto market is experiencing positive sentiment, with altcoins and meme tokens also seeing gains. As the political landscape evolves, Bitcoin’s price is expected to remain sensitive to election updates, making it a crucial area for investors and traders to watch closely.
Disclaimer
All information has been prepared by TraderFactor or partners. The information does not contain a record of TraderFactor or partner’s prices or an offer of or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Any material provided does not have regard to the specific investment objective and financial situation of any person who may read it. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance.
Author
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Zahari Rangelov is an experienced professional Forex trader and trading mentor with knowledge in technical and fundamental analysis, medium-term trading strategies, risk management and diversification. He has been involved in the foreign exchange markets since 2005, when he opened his first live account in 2007. Currently, Zahari is the Head of Sales & Business Development at TraderFactor's London branch. He provides lectures during webinars and seminars for traders on topics such as; Psychology of market participants’ moods, Investments & speculation with different financial instruments and Automated Expert Advisors & signal providers. Zahari’s success lies in his application of research-backed techniques and practices that have helped him become a successful forex trader, a mentor to many traders, and a respected authority figure within the trading community.
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